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23.06.2026
Queensland Is Growing Faster Than the National Average
The state added 97,347 new residents in the year to September 2025, growing at 1.8% against a national average of 1.6% and taking Queensland’s total population to 5.69 million. Overseas migration contributed 57,068 of those arrivals, interstate migration 19,092, and natural increase 21,187.
Migration led households are more likely to be entering the market for the first time, and that cohort aligns closely with the house and land product that defines the greenfield sector.
Growth Is Concentrating in the Outer Corridors
The fastest growing communities in the state are in the outer corridors, and the numbers are significant. Ripley added 3,131 residents, up 15%. Chambers Flat Logan Reserve grew by 1,812, up 12%. Greenbank North Maclean added 1,576, up 14%, and Boronia Heights Park Ridge 1,430, up 6%.
These communities are absorbing a disproportionate share of new household formations each year. That concentration of growth also underlines the importance of prioritising infrastructure delivery in greenfield areas. Housing supply and population growth need to be matched by roads, schools, and services for these corridors to function well long term.
The Established Market Is Running Out of Room
The tightening in established markets is stark. In March 2026, rental vacancies across Brisbane sat at just 2,662, against a prior average of 9,371. Listings for sale came in at 13,832, compared to a prior average of 30,237. Both are near record lows.
That shortfall is redirecting demand into the greenfield sector at a level above what population growth alone would generate. When established stock is effectively unavailable, buyers who might otherwise have purchased existing homes are turning to new housing instead.
The Greenfield Sector Still Offers a Price Advantage
Australia’s appetite for homeownership has not softened. Interest rates and affordability challenges have shifted where and how people buy, not whether they intend to.
The greenfield sector continues to offer a relative price advantage. A typical house and land package sits at around $1.01 million, based on the median land price and average build price, against an established median of $1.16 million. That gap exists despite land values rising 26% annually to $503,200 and the average build price now also sitting above half a million dollars.
The margin is narrowing and will keep doing so, but it continues to drive purchasing decisions for a significant share of buyers.
Where Demand Is Landing
Moreton Bay, Logan, and Ipswich now account for 71% of SEQ land sales. The Ripley Valley, Waraba, Flagstone, and Yarrabilba Priority Development Areas are carrying the weight of demand and will remain central to how the region accommodates its next phase of growth.
For developers and property professionals tracking where activity is concentrating, these corridors are the ones to watch.
Want the Full Picture?
This article draws on findings from RPM Group’s SEQ Greenfield Market Report – April 2026. Access the complete data and market forecasts in the full report.
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